Avon has recently announced its exit from the Direct Selling Association. The video includes my thoughts. This is a very significant development and represents extreme discomfort experienced by companies in the industry. The reasons for Avon’s exit. I’ll sum it up: (1) They’re not feeling the love. They feel as though other companies, the companies that do not quite match Avon’s values, are setting the DSA’s agenda; (2) They’re not happy with the current Code of Ethics. They feel it should be updated and that the current Code has too many holes; thus, minimizing the effectiveness of “self regulation.” Watch the video. Read Avon’s letter. This is an important subject to process.
Beginning of letter (h/t to Matt Stewart for transcribing the letter)
To our U.S. direct selling colleagues,
At Avon, we strongly believe in the power of direct selling to enhance people’s lives. Our entire business model is based on our commitment to helping women build better lives for themselves and their families. And we know that multi-level marketing, in some markets and with the appropriate guardrails, is a robust and effective channel for distributing products to consumers.
As you may be aware, this week Avon made the decision to exit the U.S. DSA. This decision came after careful consideration and more than a year of thoughtful discussion. This decision was driven by two key issues:
• We believe the association’s agenda in the U.S. is overly focused on the issues of a few specific brands rather than industry-wide challenges.
• We believe that the U.S. DSA Code of Ethics requires updating to better reflect the current state of the industry in the U.S.
As the U.S. DSA is currently operating, we do not believe that either of these issues will be addressed.
Like any industry, direct selling and multi-level marketing evolve and the associations that support the direct selling industry need to evolve as well. As one of the largest direct selling companies in the world, we at Avon feel that it is our duty and responsibility to protect those just starting out in the industry, as well as those who have made careers as independent direct sellers.
In the U.S., we believe there is a need to enhance the DSA Code of Ethics to better ensure that individuals entering direct selling have the benefit of adequate safeguards. If and when these issues are better addressed by the U.S. DSA in a way that is supportive of the industry as a whole, we would re-consider our membership.
Avon is not exiting the World Federation of Direct Selling Associations (WFDSA}, local market DSAs, or other direct selling trade organizations outside of the United States. We continue to believe that industry associations play an important role for Avon and you, our direct selling peers.
As it relates to Direct Selling Associations (DSAs} around the world, Avon has a long history of involvement. In fact, we were a founding member of many of these organizations. The Direct Selling Code of Ethics, as administered by the DSAs, is a key component of the industry’s self-regulation.
Accordingly, Avon abides by the World Federation of Direct Sellers “Code of Ethics.” There are three major aspects of our business model that we believe further safeguard our Representatives and consumers.
1. The Avon business model does not rely on nor does it encourage sales of inventory, training or business support materials between Representatives. The core of our business model is Representatives selling our products to an end consumer.
2. Avon has reasonable return policies. Representatives are not left holding excess inventory.
3. Avon limits earnings to three generations. We do not promise commissions on infinite sales. Rather, we primarily promote and incentivize Representatives based on their sales to Customers.
By adhering to these principles in every market where we operate, we protect our Representatives and help ensure new recruits have a positive experience with direct selling.
It is also important to consider how consumers view direct selling. Avon’s message to consumers is:
At its best, direct selling is “I tried the product. I liked the product. I recommended it to a friend.” If you are considering entering direct sales (or ‘social selling’) here are three tips to remember:
1. Like the product! Make sure it’s a product you use and enjoy yourself. You will be selling to your friends, family, neighbors and co-workers.
2. Understand the product. All good direct selling/social selling companies will provide training and mentoring support. But you should not need to invest heavily in start-up training and marketing materials.
3. Know who you are buying from and who is paying you. When ordering product for your customers, make sure you will be purchasing from the Company, not the individual who recruited you into selling, and that your earnings will be paid by the Company.
With over $32 billion in sales in 2013, direct sales continues to be a vibrant and growing industry in the United States. Every day, people across the country looking to earn extra money are signing up to become direct sellers. These women and men are hoping to build a business, unlock additional earnings, start a college fund for their children, buy a new car or simply supplement their current income
For well over a century, Avon has been committed to assuring that direct selling remains a viable option for individuals looking for financial empowerment. Our commitment to our Representatives today and in the future will not waiver.
Senior Vice President, Corporate Relations & Chief Communications Officer Avon Products.
Memo by Hedge Fund Manager Robert Chapman: Bill Ackman’s Attempt to Goad Regulators Into a Baseless, Unnecessary Legal Battle
The attacks on Herbalife have been staged on many fronts. Almost two years into Ackman’s bear raid against Herbalife, the clock is ticking and Ackman undoubtedly needs a government bailout / regulatory action against Herbalife. Ackman’s thoughts about those on the long-side of $HLF: they’re all idiots. Kenny Moelis, Bill Stiritz, Carl Icahn, Joele Frank, Boies Schiller, PWC, “uneducated” Herbalife distributors….all operating with inferior minds to his own. Do Ackman and his gang have an explanation for the 0.25% rate of return on Herbalife products (which offers a 100% buyback)? Sure they do. It’s magic. I’m not kidding. Brent Wilkes, director of a Latin American advocacy group, attributed the low rate of return of inventory to a “magical hold” Herbalife has over its distributors. In other words, consumers, if they were thinking clearly, would demand more refunds.
This is not even the tip of the iceberg on the elitist logic used by MLM critics. Lately, the “influence-by-insult” strategy has been directed towards federal regulators. With titles like “Does Herbalife Think The FTC Is Dumber Than A Bag Of Hammers?,” the critics are directing their ammo at regulators. In other words, if the FTC fails to intervene, they’re “asleep at the wheel” and stupid like the rest of us.
Robert Chapman calls out this strategy in a very well-researched memo. With his permission, I’ve included the full content below. The actual PDF can be downloaded here.
DATE: August 8, 2014
TO: Herbalife Regulators and Related Parties
RE: Bill Ackman’s Attempt to Goad Regulators Into a Baseless, Unnecessary Legal Battle
Introduction. As has been covered widely by the media, Pershing Square Capital Management’s Bill Ackman has been engaged in a nearly two-year campaign to profit by putting Herbalife out of business. Ackman’s goal appears quite obvious: to add $2 billion to Pershing Square’s and his own wealth while feeding his apparently insatiable appetite for ego and reputational aggrandizement. The first goal – earning profits for himself and his investors, is the cornerstone of legal and socially acceptable capitalism. As such, it deserves no rebuke. However, Ackman’s unconventional method of accomplishing that profit goal – making what I and an indisputably respectable list of Herbalife institutional and individual investors view as a seemingly endless string of false, exaggerated, and/or misleading statements via an unprecedented $50 million “research” (propaganda) campaign– is worthy of the high volume of criticism it has received.
My Motive. Unlike Ackman and his gang, I shall not attempt to obfuscate the motive underlying this communication, nor will I make false claims about what conclusions I believe the short sellers have drawn. Unlike the short sellers preposterously stating that the shareholders of Herbalife believe it to be an illegal operation, I shall not baselessly state that the short sellers of Herbalife believe it to be a legal operation, although there are various signs that Ackman belatedly has come to realize that is the case and thus shall pivot next to goading lawmakers into changing the law itself. I shall state my motive honestly and clearly: to portray accurately my view of this last ditch tactic being used by Ackman and his gang – to goad and attempt to shame regulators into a baseless, unnecessary legal battle against Herbalife.
Desperate Situations Require Desperate Measures. Having incurred an estimated $200 million – $400 million in realized and unrealized losses on this one investment, Pershing Square finds itself in a fragile reputational position. Particularly following Ackman’s unapologetic yet highly influential role in the dismantling and near bankrupting of 100-year old retailer JCPenney, his status as an investment superstar is in further jeopardy with Pershing Square’s Herbalife debacle, which unlike massive money losers JCPenney or Target, is far from over. Having proclaimed ubiquitously that Pershing Square’s research on Herbalife had led to this “best investment idea ever,” — this despite Ackman’s reported decision not to have even one meeting with Herbalife management before launching his bear raid in December 2012 — his reputation, and potentially his franchise should there be legal repercussions, is on the line. Indeed, the investment and regulatory worlds appear to be converging on an agreement that Ackman’s claims vs. Herbalife are mostly wrong. Moreover, there exists no shortage of those who believe that Ackman now appears to know that his emotionally fraught analysis was and remains “wrong.” Even so, he persists in a quixotic and most un-valiant holy war against an enemy of his own fabrication.
Ackman’s Final, Desperate Strategy: Goad/Shame the FTC into a Self Serving, Baseless Legal Battle
- Goading/Prodding Just the Latest Tactic at Manipulating Regulators: It is no coincidence that Bill Ackman kick started his July 22nd Herbalife-bashing presentation with John Hempton’s thoughtless categorization of the global nutrition products company Herbalife as “scumbags” in a 2012 CNBC interview. Ackman’s nutrition club presentation followed Bruce Craig’s letter from the day earlier to FTC Chairwoman Edith Ramirez, in which the anti-MLM campaigner went over the heads of both FTC Bureau of Consumer Protection (CPB) Director Jessica Rich and FTC CPB Marketing Practices Director Lois Greisman in an overtly hostile attack. Essentially, Craig publicly accused Ramirez subordinate Jessica Rich of having the wrong priorities (based on a March 2014 speech whereof in a MLM clampdown was not highlighted) and preposterously seemed to categorize her subordinate Lois Greisman as a feckless shill for the MLM industry, based apparently on the absurd theory that since her prior boss at the FTC was Amway’s lawyer, she must be aligned with the MLM industry herself. I can only imagine how Ms. Rich and Ms. Greisman felt when they read how they were being depicted by Ackman ally Mr. Craig to their own common boss.
- The Order Apparently Has Been Sent Down from Pershing Square: Very recently and non-coincidentally, one can hardly read any of the myriad Seeking Alpha “articles” or other short seller propaganda without recognizing an obvious pattern of the short sellers trying to shame the FTC into shutting down or otherwise impairing Herbalife. In the most recent post by Bill Ackman’s close personal friend and Herbalife short seller Whitney Tilson, Tilson claimed that many of Herbalife’s investors “concede the company is deceptive, but invest because they think regulators are spineless.” Tilson is surprisingly shameless in displaying his coopting of Ackman’s “goad the FTC” tactic. As one of his correspondents (per Tilson’s own concession) wrote to him on July 26 and then published proudly by Tilson, “I believe you are correct that the regulators will ultimately be goaded into action.” Tilson’s correspondent then took a shot at goading the regulators himself: “Many of our regulators are not fond of complex cases and hard work.” One can expect more disrespectful propaganda like this coming from those who stand to strike it rich by maiming or dealing a “death blow” to Herbalife. They indeed seem willing to try virtually any tactic to manipulate the markets, media or regulators to that dire end.
- Short Sellers Must Know Their Claims Are False: The short sellers are spreading these transparently manipulative and, in my view, knowingly false depictions of the true investment thesis of Herbalife’s investors. The true long/bullish thesis I actually do hear is that the Company is a legitimate, legally operating global MLM selling products desired and purchased by ultimate consumers, both internally and externally. Again, whether it be D.A. Davidson’s (Tim Ramey) or Barclays (Meredith Adler) with their in-depth sell-side research, or 19% Herbalife owner Carl Icahn’s repeated public statements that he believes Herbalife is a legitimate, legally run company selling products that help people worldwide, there is not a single Herbalife investor amongst the many with whom I have spoken who ever has indicated in any way that Herbalife is ‘deceptive’ or ‘fraudulent’. Even John Hempton’s careless choice of words in 2012 was intended to convey his view that the MLM industry has participants, including some distributers of Herbalife products, who are overly aggressive and opportunistic. Moreover, that singular statement, no matter how taken out of context by Bill Ackman, did not represent anyone but John Hempton’s apparent view at that particular time.
- Short Sellers Insult the Regulators’ Collective Intelligence: The irony and hypocrisy of the Herbalife Short sellers vis-à-vis the MLM’s regulators is nothing short of astounding. Ackman and his cabal of profiteers are not dissimilar to a small but high pitched gang of school yard bullies who repeatedly egg on an honors student to start a fight by shouting, “Come on! He called you a wimp! You really gonna take that?” As I shake my head in disbelief, I wonder how Ackman & Co. actually believe that these truly sedulous regulators, who have a history of taking on the likes of the Mafia, international drug dealers and money launderers, possibly could be goaded into doing the short sellers’ bidding with this patently obvious shaming tactic.
- Charming, Cajoling, Overwhelming, Bullying and Now Goading and Shaming Regulators: In mid-late 2012, nearly two years ago, it appeared that Bill Ackman began his version of a charm offensive with the FTC, SEC and other state regulators. Exhibiting a typical lack self-awareness, Ackman essentially told the FTC, the SEC, and state regulators that Pershing Square was doing these regulators a huge favor by blessing them with his propriety analysis that supposedly proved Herbalife to be a “criminal enterprise.” Again, allow me to emphasize, Ackman essentially accused these regulators of having been asleep at the switch for nothing short of decades, and, as such delinquents, they all require Pershing Square’s collective perspicacity to finally do their regulatory jobs. When his unique form of enchantment predictably failed, Ackman moved on to overwhelming the regulators with a deluge of documentation estimated into the thousands of pages. As that tactic did not attain the immediate prosecution Ackman sought, Ackman moved onto his well-practiced approach of bullying, enlisting a relatively small segment of LULAC and a U.S. Senator to replace his own public face of his war. In March this year, some 15 months after his first public presentation, Ackman’s final bullying thrust seemed to pay dividends when the FTC launched the formal investigation for which Ackman had agitated. However, there is a great distance between the investigation and shutting down of Herbalife, as the now 1.5 year SEC investigation exhibits. One may want to ask the following hypothetical: “What might Ackman do if the SEC has turned its focus on Pershing Square and/or one of its current or former employees involved in Herbalife? What theoretically might Ackman do if he begins to sense that the results of the FTC investigation were heading toward actually vindicating rather than crucifying Herbalife? Might Ackman and his gang then begin to goad, prod and attempt to shame the FTC into a fight that was baseless and solely served the interests of those who have sold short Herbalife’s stock?” This is precisely what I believe is happening.
- Regulators of Herbalife are Diligent, Not Spineless: At the risk of stating the obvious, every bull on Herbalife shares I know thinks the FTC/SEC/AGs/DOJ are anything but spineless. Instead, they are extremely diligent in prosecuting truly illegal, endless chain pyramid schemes that primarily compensate distributers for ENROLLING their downline (vs. selling product/inventory to that down line). The FTC, and the Illinois, Kentucky and North Carolina attorneys general hardly were “spineless when they worked for years together ahead of halting truly illegal pyramid scheme Fortune High Tech Marketing. For over half a decade, the FTC investigated and then prosecuted truly illegal pyramid scheme BurnLounge, successfully pursuing justice through 2014 all the way to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. The diligently laboring Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) hardly was “spineless” when it slapped TelexFree with a lawsuit on charges it sold fraudulent and unregistered securities to mostly Brazilian and Dominican immigrants, who served as its promoters. New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman, amongst a plethora of other effective and legitimate law enforcement, ferociously has pursued enforcement against the High Frequency Trading players, whose business model involves front running the investments made indirectly and directly by America’s hard working citizens. California Attorney General Kamala Harris has risen to superhero status on a national scale for her hard charging battle against the nation’s top banks to win a $20 billion settlement for mortgage fraud. This is but a tiny sample of many examples of strict, appropriate enforcement. The list of “fully spined” regulators and their persistent pursuit of justice via the prosecution of legitimate, non-falsified or fabricated cases is truly endless. Therefore, I apologize for the many I failed to include in my list above.
Conclusion. That regulators refuse to be cajoled, bullied, prodded, goaded and “shamed” into pursuing Bill Ackman’s profiteering and self- aggrandizing agenda does not come anywhere close to making them “spineless.” This is so obvious that any reasonable observer, Herbalife investor or otherwise, would have to agree. Bill Ackman and his compliant operatives should feel ashamed for their transparent attempts to manipulate not only the markets, but those who assiduously and honorably have been regulating them for decades.
 Herbalife’s illiquid convertible bonds (2’s of 2019) in the past few weeks have been sold down aggressively and disproportionately to the common stock, with some speculating that Pershing Square directly or indirectly (via CDS bidding) having influenced their lower pricing to create the appearance and related media “reporting” of a symptom of financial distress, despite the company’s healthy debt service coverage.
FTC Settles with TriVita. Is the word “Inflammation” off limits when you’re selling a health product?
The FTC has spoken and we better pay attention. Recently, the FTC announced a $3.5M settlement with TriVita, a network marketing company. TriVita is an Arizona corporation that advertises, markets, distributes, and sells Nopalea. Nopelea is a nutrient rich drink derived from the superfruit of the Nopal cactus. TriVita peppered the marketplace with an aggressive marketing campaign that touted the curative properties of Nopelea. The theme of the advertisements: Nopalea is a drink that will reduce bodily inflammation, which will lead to a reduction in pain associated with inflammation-related diseases.
In May, the FTC obtained an Injunction against TriVita because of the aggressive claims. In the lawsuit, the FTC found the following claims about Nopalea offensive:
• Significantly reduces or eliminates the effects of inflammation on the body
• Provides significant relief from pain, including but not limited to, chronic pain, joint pain, back pain, nerve pain, phantom pain, and pain from inflammation, arthritis, fibromyalgia, surgical procedures, or other conditions;
• Significantly reduces or relieves swelling of joints and muscles;
• Significantly improves breathing or provides significant relief from respiratory conditions, including but not limited to, sinus infections; or
• Provides significant relief from skin conditions, including but not limited to psoriasis.
The FTC found these claims to be disease claims. The FDA defines disease as “damage to an organ, part, structure, or system of the body such that it does not function properly (e.g., cardiovascular disease), or a state of health leading to such dysfunctioning (e.g., hypertension).” Under this definition, a common cold is considered a “disease.” Basically, if an ingredient is marketed expressly or implicitly as having any kind of positive effect on a disease (as defined above), it’ll be treated as a disease claim and subject to further regulations/penalties.
As a result of the settlement, TriVita has agreed to pay a $3.5M fine a refrain implying that its product can be used in the treatment of any diseases.
Regarding the product claims above, they’re obviously over the line. References to diseases like arthritis, fibromyalgia, sinus infections and psoriasis are obvious examples of what not to do.
But what about inflammation?
If a company states that a product can limit the effects of inflammation, is that considered a “disease claim.” In this article by MonaVie, the word “inflammation” is referenced 16 times. Vemma went so far as to commissioning a report on Vemma’s affect on inflammation. I’m not picking on MonaVie and Vemma, I’m just referencing the links to show that it’s quite common for juice companies to talk about their products’ affect on inflammation in the body.
The big question is whether “inflammation” is now in the government’s little black book of unusable words. Based on their position in this case, it would certainly seem to be the case. While one could argue that TriVita was not sued SOLELY because of their use of the word inflammation, it was certainly a strong factor.
If a company promotes a product as an anti-inflammatory, the logical conclusion is that the field will take it one step further. While “inflammation” by itself is not a disease, the easy association of the word to several ailments will result in the inevitable (and predictable) disease claims. The field will naturally explain that inflammation is a leading cause of various diseases, with arthritis and fibromyalgia being on top of the list.
TriVita was too aggressive. Nopalea was advertised as a product that could do more than alleviate ailments, it was advertised as a product that could treat and cure. TriVita, and its field leaders, marketed the product explicitly as one that can mitigate horrible disease symptoms. They portrayed their product as the Ferrari of all anti-inflammatories.
The FTC is taking its job seriously. If a company is going to play in the gray with the word “inflammation,” it’s playing with fire. Again, “inflammation” might not be a disease by itself; however, it’s going to be nearly impossible to prevent field leaders from taking it to the next level. If a company insists on keeping the word “inflammation” in its marketing literature, it needs to take EXTRA precautions to ensure that the field is not extrapolating the message and stating that the product can cure or mitigate diseases associated with inflammation. This is where compliance enforcement is critical i.e. disciplining people when infractions are observed.
Bottom line: While it’s treacherous water to promote a product as one that can reduce inflammation, it’s not illegal to swim there. If the FTC or FDA releases a clear statement regarding their thoughts on whether “inflammation” is an actual disease, I’ll update this article. In the meantime, companies need to tread cautiously. Candidly, I would advise my clients to stop using the word “inflammation” because the message in the field is nearly impossible to control and the downside is too great.
What do you think? Do you think this is a fair outcome for TriVita? Should the word “inflammation” be a privilege only allowed by FDA approved drugs?
On September 4th, it’s a great time to be in Nashville, Tennessee! We’re once again hosting our MLM Startup Conference, the Direct Selling Edge. Click here to purchase your tickets: DS Edge. Use the promo code: LEGAL-EAGLE.
This two-day educational conference is the best for new and young direct selling companies because the quality of the content presented is excellent. It is pure education….with the exception of one night on the town if you’re interested.
We cover a lot at this conference
- what recent Federal Trade Commission decisions means for you
- best practices and step-by-step instructions for creating an ethical and effective presence in the social media landscape
- the legal limits for raising capital and the legal rights inherent with stock ownership
- the differences between different types of compensation plans and how to assess which plan type is best for you
- the ABC’s of successful recruiting
- how to select the right MLM software
- why you need to have a distributor compliance system for your network marketing or party plan company
- all about sales tax, 1099′s, unclaimed property reporting, and state income taxes
At the end of each day, from 5 until 7 pm, you’ll have the opportunity to meet with conference speakers for 20 minute appointments at no additional cost!
The Direct Selling Edge Conference will be held in Franklin, Tennessee (just 20 miles from Nashville) at the Drury Plaza Hotel Franklin on Thursday and Friday, September 4 and 5, 2014.
Built in 2012, the new 338-room hotel offers a daily free hot breakfast, free soda and popcorn, free food at 5:30pm, free local and long distance calls, free parking, and a microwave and refrigerator in every room.
We’ve negotiated excellent rates for you. Click this link to reserve your room: https://wwwc.druryhotels.com/Reservations.aspx?groupno=2212903
Questions? Shoot me an email at: [email protected] I hope to meet you there!
I had the privilege of being on Bloomberg for a small segment talking about Bill Ackman’s latest presentation. The 7-minute segment can be viewed above. Ackman’s presentation today, if you can spare 3+ hours, can be found here.
Before summarizing his argument, it needs to be said that he heavily promoted this presentation yesterday. He was like Muhammad Ali talking about the Thrilla in Manila, saying it was “the most important presentation of his life.” He further said that this would be the “death blow” to Herbalife. He successfully spooked the market, causing it to sink 11%. Instead of “conclusively proving fraud,” which was his intent, he ignited confidence in the market due to the lack of substance. After the presentation, the stock UP 25% (same day). I’m not making this up. Up 25% the day of the death blow. Only on Wall Street.
I’ll summarize his thesis:
- Herbalife’s usage of “Nutrition Clubs” operates like a bait and switch for consumers.
- The prospects are lured into the clubs on the auspices of hanging out with friends and sampling products.
- These prospects are then pressured to “get on the treadmill” and join as distributors and recruit more people to visit the clubs.
- The Club concept is designed to recruit, not to sell.
- Herbalife’s stance that the clubs foster community efforts for weight loss is smoke and mirrors.
- He goes further and argues that the positioning of some of the clubs as “success universities” is misleading because they’re not accredited as real universities.
- He further argues that the Clubs violate various labor laws since the members are expected to help out in keeping the club operational i.e. free labor.
- He argues that Michael Johnson learned of these strategies of penetrating the hispanic market while at Disney. In my opinion, he gave Michael Johnson way more credit than he deserved in this regard. The Nutrition Club concept was likely an invention in the field.
We discuss the presentation during the interview. Herbalife has issued its own response, including the findings from an economist about its model. Based on his data, he concluded that the vast majority of revenue is attributable to legitimate product consumption i.e. people buying for legitimate value. The data is significant, as it essentially puts the pyramid scheme argument to bed. If true, the majority of commissions are driven via legitimate economic activity by “ultimate users.” This is why, in my opinion, Ackman paid very little attention to the law today. I think he knows the law is not in his favor on a macro level with Herbalife. Instead, he was arguing the facts on a micro level, painting a picture that there’s a massive bait-and-switch occurring with the Nutrition Clubs. In his mind, if he can kill the Nutrition Clubs, he can kill Herbalife.
Commentary from me
Herbalife needs to avoid gloating. They sort of spiked the football today with their remarks. Yes, Ackman’s presentation went off like a snap bomp instead of the full scale firework show we were promised. But, with that being said, he’s certainly not someone to poke. He’s obviously emotionally charged on the issue. He cried on a few occasions during the presentation. In his mind, he sees himself as a “Superman” that needs to rescue these poor, hispanic citizens. While 93% of Herbalife Nutrition Club operators are happy with their experience (based on a recent survey), Ackman would argue that they’re under a trance that only he can break. Referencing the history of his great-grandfather that came to America from Russia, Ackman sees Herbalife as preying on people like his great-granddad, causing significant damage for future generations.
Bottom line: he’s amped up. And his puts expire in January of 2015, which means he needs to land a punch soon to get the stock to soften before he eats the loss. I think he’s done his worst to Herbalife. It’s now in the hands of regulators. Speaking of regulators, he did not provide them with any new ammunition today that they did not already possess yesterday. I stand firm with my initial opinion, made in January of 2013. Admittedly, I could be wrong. But I do not think the FTC will file an action against Herbalife. Instead, I think there’s going to be some sort of negotiated settlement that will involve some sort of penalty for past transgressions. They’re the Federal government…they’re going to find something. Give me Ackman’s investigatory budget of $50,000,000 and I’ll find dirt on whatever you want. The return on his $50M investment was anti-climatic and the market made him pay.
What do you think? What’s next for Herbalife? What’s next in Bill Ackman’s playbook?
Below is an excerpt from my article about the Ninth Circuit opinion on BurnLounge. The article can be read in full over at Seeking Alpha. It’s an important subject. Click here to read it.
- The Court successfully threaded the needle on the issue of “ultimate users,” essentially creating two classes of participants.
- The Court provided several factors throughout the opinion to help outsiders deduce the motivation driving consumption. This is especially helpful in assessing $HLF.
- The Opinion will require the FTC’s pyramid scheme expert to create another analytical framework to distinguish pyramid schemes from legitimate direct selling companies (assuming they need one).
- The Court adopted the logic provided by the FTC in its 2004 Staff Advisory Opinion.
- The Court eliminated all confusion regarding Omnitrition as it completely ignored the widely referenced dicta that consumption from participants cannot count as sales to “ultimate users.”
On June 2nd, 2014, the Ninth Circuit published its long awaited BurnLounge Opinion. Within hours, both sides of the Herbalife battlefield issued statements claiming victory about the decision. I’ve taken the week to process the opinion. During this time, I’ve tried to keep up to speed with the online chatter regarding various interpretations. One thing is clear: the gray space in MLM law separating legitimate direct selling companies from pyramid schemes has been minimized considerably.
On the one side, Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square spun it as validation of its argument that commissions in the Herbalife plan were derived primarily by opportunity driven demand (recruitment rewards) instead of legitimate product consumption. On the other side, the MLM industry (myself included), breathed a sigh of relief, submitting that the decision validates a lot of our main points in responding to common criticisms of the model. This article is intended to cull out the key nuggets in the BurnLounge decision and interpret what it means going forward.
End of Excerpt
Click here to read the rest of the article on Seeking Alpha. Seeking Alpha is a news site dedicated to publishing content about publicly traded companies. The article took me quite a bit of time to prepare. I hope you find it informative.
The Ninth Circuit released it’s decision in the BurnLounge case. In summary, it’s bad for BurnLounge, good for network marketing industry. If you will recall, BurnLounge was held to be a pyramid scheme by a Federal District Court in California. BurnLounged appealed, arguing that the court used an improper standard when it determined BurnLounge to be a pyramid scheme. Watch the video below to get a quick summary of the Ninth Circuit’s decision.
I intend to publish a more detailed analysis once I’ve had time to read the full opinion.
You can read the opinion below (or click here).
If you’re reading this via email, please click the image above to view my video on the subject.
The FTC is finally starting to talk, and we better pay attention. The FTC has recently announced a “Stipulated Order for Permanent Injunction” in its case against Fortune Hi Tech. There’s no surprise here…the founder of FHTM has recently passed away and there was not much to fight over once the initial injunction was in place. The injunction is what we’ve been expecting: the company is prohibited from operating as an MLM and they’re ordered to pay cash to the government.
In its announcement, the FTC communicated in plain English. Instead of giving you my perspective, I’m going to share their statement in full. It’s easy to read and it’ll give you an idea of what they find offensive. If I were to summarize (I know I told you I wouldn’t give my perspective, but I can’t help it), I’d say there were three things that caught the FTC’s attention regarding FHTM: (1) aggressive income claims with inadequate substantiation; (2) the emphasis of the marketing pitch was on recruitment instead of product value; (3) (you’re not going to deduce this from their statement below, but it was certainly a factor) the majority of the pay plan was driven by the volume from new participants i.e. front loading.
BEGINNING OF PRESS RELEASE, included in full
Promotional materials and live presentations for Fortune Hi-Tech Marketing used a lot of organizational jargon to recruit new people. The first step: Shell out start-up fees and monthly charges. Next: Recruit enough “independent reps” so you can work your way up through the ranks to Regional Sales Manager, Executive Sales Manager, National Sales Manager, Platinum Sales Manager, and ultimately “Presidential Ambassador.” But the FTC and the State AGs of Illinois, Kentucky and North Carolina have another term for FHTM’s convoluted system of recruiting and compensation: They call it a pyramid scheme.
Last year, the FTC and the states sued FHTM, related companies, and individual defendants, alleging they deceptively claimed people would make big bucks by signing up to sell FHTM’s health and beauty products and services from other vendors. What kind of bait did they dangle before would-be entrepreneurs? According to one video, “Four months in . . . I had actually quadrupled what I have ever made as a Registered Nurse.” One of FHTM’s Platinum Sales Managers said in a video that people who reach the upper levels were making between $30,000 and $70,000 per month. During a recorded conference call posted on a team website, an FHTM Presidential Ambassador claimed that a colleague involved for only six months “earned over $50,000 in one month” and “millions and millions beyond that.”
Ultimately, more than 350,000 people enrolled, but the FTC and State AGs say the bottom line was a far cry from FHTM’s bluster. After conducting its own investigation, the court-appointed receiver concluded that FHTM’s main business was recruiting new members and not selling stuff – a key factor in differentiating a pyramid scheme from a legitimate multi-level marketing plan. For example, 98% of participants lost more money than they made and at least 88% didn’t even recoup their enrollment fees. To the extent people made any money, 81% of the payments to FHTM participants came from recruiting new members, not from sales.
To settle the case, the defendants have agreed to a lifetime ban from multilevel marketing. The stipulated order imposes a judgment of more than $169 million, which will be partially suspended when they surrender certain assets with an estimated value of at least $7.75 million, including property from the estate of defendant Paul Orberson, who died while the case was pending. What kind of valuables are we talking about? A farm in Kentucky, a Florida condo, a house in South Carolina, a BMW, a Jeep, two boats, a sports memorabilia collection, coins, and bullion. The jet skis? They’re going, too.
What can bizopp buyers and sellers take from the case?
- Right on the money? Some bizopp sellers argue that earnings claims are just harmless puffery. Wrong. If you state – or imply – that people will achieve certain results, you need competent and reliable evidence to back up those promises. And don’t think that one person’s unusually successful outcome will be sufficient to support a general money-making claim. Save the cherry-picking for the pie.
- United we stand. The FTC and State AGs stand shoulder to shoulder to protect consumers from questionable money-making ventures. Sometimes the cooperation is behind the scenes; other times we’ll file a case jointly. Either way, we work together to ferret out fraud and deter deception.
- A ruse by any other name. The evidence showed that the FHTM defendants targeted Spanish-speaking consumers and members of immigrant communities for their shady pitch. Deception is deception, regardless of the language or demographics.
- A word for entrepreneurs. View business opportunity pitches with a skeptical eye, especally if the person making the promises stands to make money from your participation. Before investing so much as a nickel, run it past someone with proven business savvy who isn’t trying to sell you something. The FTC has free resources in English and Spanish to help you evaluate the options, with specific advice on multilevel marketing. One possible tip-off to a bizopp rip-off: If the focus is less on selling the product and more on recruiting new members.
If you’re reading this via email, click here to review the Stipulated Order for Permanent Injunction.
We got it done. I’ll be honest with you. Four years ago, when I originally tried to pass MY version of the anti-pyramid bill, I would never have guessed that I would’ve successfully collaborated with the DSA to get a bill passed. The DSA and I were on opposite sides of the aisle at that time. But…people grow. We grow wiser, experience things, we learn and we develop. The DSA Model Legislation was passed in my home state (Tennessee) with an overwhelming majority in the state house and senate. The DSA announced the good news today (and I got a little ink…as a Supplier Member, that’s a big deal;)
Click here for the full text of the Tennessee Anti-Pyramid Bill.
I’m going to share with you what led me to pick up the phone and reach out to Joe Mariano about this effort. I was watching the movie “Lincoln” starring my favorite actor, Daniel Day Lewis. There was a scene where Lincoln was chatting with staunch abolitionist Thaddeus Stevens. Stevens wanted Lincoln to draw a firmer line with respect to slavery. Lincoln’s words made sense to me:
“A compass, I learned when I was surveying, it’ll… it’ll point you True North from where you’re standing, but it’s got no advice about the swamps and deserts and chasms that you’ll encounter along the way. If in pursuit of your destination, you plunge ahead, heedless of obstacles, and achieve nothing more than to sink in a swamp… What’s the use of knowing True North?”
In life, it’s unwise to take extreme “I’m right, and you’re wrong!” positions. This is especially true with politics when it comes to language in a bill. Is the bill PERFECT? No. But legislation is not about perfection. Legislation / politics is about compromise. It’s about identifying shared goals with parties with unique interests and working towards those mutual goals, regardless if your personal preferences are fully met. 80% of something is better than 100% of nothing. At this juncture in the industry, it’s more important now than ever that PEOPLE WORK TOGETHER. This bill legitimizes the practice of paying commissions on internal consumption. It also has requirements for solid consumer protections i.e. 12 month buyback policies.
In this industry, battle lines are drawn between companies, vendors, distributors and Wall Street investors. With so many contrarian views, it’s impossible to pull out anything actionable that we agree on. At a time such as now, we all need to support a consistent vision that network marketing, when done appropriately, is a legitimate and viable means of distributing goods and services. The “when done appropriately” part is the part that trips us up. What’s appropriate? What distinguishes good from bad? There’s no consensus and, in my opinion, there’s never going to be a consensus without federal guidelines. In the meantime, groups in the industry need to LEAN IN and take some positions. At a minimum, people need to get behind the idea that paying commissions on internal consumption is legitimate provided that consumer safeguards are in place. Companies MUST refrain from encouraging/incentivizing distributors to load up on inventory they don’t really want in quantities they can’t really justify.
With other leaders in the industry, I want you to take a position. Don’t just talk about “elevating the profession.” I challenge you to propose some concrete ideas about how you intend on making it happen. As a unified front, there’s no stopping from advancing. But as a dispersed band of competitors, we’re weak.
I was pleased to get this effort going in Tennessee. And without the DSA communicating support, the effort would’ve died. Jeremy Durham, one of the bill’s sponsors said, “I was happy to work with Kevin Thompson and the DSA on this bill. Kevin’s credibility and expertise on the subject made it easier for us to get the support we needed for the bill. I’m always happy to serve my constituents and I’m very pleased with this result.”
Special thanks also goes out to Senator Jack Johnson who co-sponsored the bill from the State Senate. One of the reasons Tennessee is tearing it up economically compared to the other states: we’ve got great, pro-business leaders.